Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000609 0.000696 0.000788 0.000892 0.001007 0.001130 0.001271
2025-08-10 0.000484 0.000605 0.000743 0.000909 0.001104 0.001324 0.001590
2025-08-17 0.000409 0.000543 0.000704 0.000906 0.001153 0.001441 0.001799
2025-08-24 0.000340 0.000479 0.000653 0.000880 0.001166 0.001511 0.001952
2025-08-31 0.000287 0.000428 0.000609 0.000855 0.001175 0.001569 0.002087
2025-09-07 0.000253 0.000395 0.000586 0.000852 0.001207 0.001656 0.002257
2025-09-14 0.000224 0.000368 0.000566 0.000851 0.001240 0.001741 0.002425
2025-09-21 0.000198 0.000339 0.000542 0.000840 0.001258 0.001807 0.002567
2025-09-28 0.000173 0.000311 0.000515 0.000824 0.001265 0.001857 0.002690
2025-10-05 0.000162 0.000303 0.000516 0.000846 0.001325 0.001978 0.002908
2025-10-12 0.000150 0.000292 0.000513 0.000862 0.001377 0.002088 0.003115
2025-10-19 0.000135 0.000273 0.000495 0.000854 0.001394 0.002149 0.003255
2025-10-26 0.000119 0.000253 0.000474 0.000840 0.001401 0.002200 0.003383
2025-11-02 0.000110 0.000243 0.000468 0.000849 0.001444 0.002300 0.003582
2025-11-09 0.000100 0.000230 0.000457 0.000848 0.001470 0.002377 0.003750
2025-11-16 0.000087 0.000210 0.000431 0.000823 0.001456 0.002394 0.003833
2025-11-23 0.000075 0.000192 0.000408 0.000799 0.001445 0.002414 0.003918
2025-11-30 0.000068 0.000181 0.000397 0.000796 0.001464 0.002480 0.004072
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000172 0.000388 0.000795 0.001487 0.002551 0.004234
2025-12-14 0.000055 0.000161 0.000375 0.000785 0.001494 0.002598 0.004361
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000149 0.000359 0.000770 0.001492 0.002629 0.004463
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000148 0.000362 0.000790 0.001549 0.002755 0.004713
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000145 0.000363 0.000805 0.001598 0.002869 0.004944